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Tech Prediction Markets
Prediction market odds on technology companies, AI developments, and tech industry events.
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
36%February 28
30%February 22
12%February 18
0%February 14
Polymarket24h Vol $18.5K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
89%>$1T
85%>$1.2T
74%>$1.4T
65%>$1.6T
Polymarket24h Vol $11.6K
Ends Dec 31, 2027
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
40%2.0T+
14%1.6T–1.8T
10%<1.0T
9%1.2T–1.4T
Polymarket24h Vol $7.6K
Ends Dec 31, 2027
Next CEO of Apple?
55%John Ternus
17%Sabih Khan
9%Craig Federighi
7%Greg Joswiak
Polymarket24h Vol $6.6K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
89%1T+
5%No IPO before 2028
2%900B–1T
1%500B–600B
Polymarket24h Vol $4.5K
Ends Dec 31, 2027
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
89%40%+
37%45%+
18%50%+
17%60%+
Polymarket24h Vol $4.1K
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
78%
Polymarket24h Vol $2.9K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?
98%ChatGPT
1%Google Gemini
1%Threads
1%Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
Polymarket24h Vol $2.4K
Ends Feb 27, 2026
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
60%$X
14%$STAR
9%$SPAX
4%$SX
Polymarket24h Vol $1.9K
Ends Dec 31, 2027
OpenAI IPO by...?
48%December 31, 2026
5%June 30, 2026
0%December 31, 2025
Polymarket24h Vol $1.9K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
50%No IPO by December 31, 2026
18%750B–1T
8%1.5T+
7%1T–1.25T
Polymarket24h Vol $1.7K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?
5%
Polymarket24h Vol $1.4K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
40%
Kalshi24h Vol $776
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
92%
Kalshi24h Vol $548
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
32%
Kalshi24h Vol $519
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
95%
Polymarket24h Vol $494
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
53%
Kalshi24h Vol $419
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
94%
Polymarket24h Vol $298
Ends Dec 31, 2027
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
28%
Polymarket24h Vol $275
Ends Dec 31, 2026
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
54%
Kalshi24h Vol $257
Ends Jan 1, 2028
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
67%Earbuds/Headphones
38%Clip-on device for clothing
15%Necklace
14%Watch
Kalshi24h Vol $257
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
21%December 31
5%June 30
Polymarket24h Vol $186
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
7%
Polymarket24h Vol $183
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
8%
Polymarket24h Vol $145
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
70%
Kalshi24h Vol $141
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
57%
Kalshi24h Vol $116
Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
29%
Kalshi24h Vol $100
Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
22%
Polymarket24h Vol $92
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
9%
Polymarket24h Vol $84
Ends Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
95%No IPO by June 30, 2026
1%<100B
1%100–200B
1%300–400B
Polymarket24h Vol $81
Ends Jun 30, 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?
6%
Polymarket24h Vol $73
Ends Feb 28, 2026
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
11%
Polymarket24h Vol $56
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
29%
Polymarket24h Vol $48
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
9%
Polymarket24h Vol $43
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
18%
Polymarket24h Vol $35
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
15%
Polymarket24h Vol $34
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
30%
Polymarket24h Vol $33
Ends Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
35%
Polymarket24h Vol $33
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
6%
Polymarket24h Vol $20
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Latest News
← Back to home
Tech Prediction Markets
Prediction market odds on technology companies, AI developments, and tech industry events.
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
36%February 28
30%February 22
12%February 18
0%February 14
Polymarket24h Vol $18.5K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
89%>$1T
85%>$1.2T
74%>$1.4T
65%>$1.6T
Polymarket24h Vol $11.6K
Ends Dec 31, 2027
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
40%2.0T+
14%1.6T–1.8T
10%<1.0T
9%1.2T–1.4T
Polymarket24h Vol $7.6K
Ends Dec 31, 2027
Next CEO of Apple?
55%John Ternus
17%Sabih Khan
9%Craig Federighi
7%Greg Joswiak
Polymarket24h Vol $6.6K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Unusual Activity
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
89%1T+
5%No IPO before 2028
2%900B–1T
1%500B–600B
Polymarket24h Vol $4.5K
Ends Dec 31, 2027
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
89%40%+
37%45%+
18%50%+
17%60%+
Polymarket24h Vol $4.1K
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
78%
Polymarket24h Vol $2.9K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?
98%ChatGPT
1%Google Gemini
1%Threads
1%Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
Polymarket24h Vol $2.4K
Ends Feb 27, 2026
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
60%$X
14%$STAR
9%$SPAX
4%$SX
Polymarket24h Vol $1.9K
Ends Dec 31, 2027
OpenAI IPO by...?
48%December 31, 2026
5%June 30, 2026
0%December 31, 2025
Polymarket24h Vol $1.9K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
50%No IPO by December 31, 2026
18%750B–1T
8%1.5T+
7%1T–1.25T
Polymarket24h Vol $1.7K
Ends Dec 31, 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?
5%
Polymarket24h Vol $1.4K
Ends Feb 28, 2026
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
40%
Kalshi24h Vol $776
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
92%
Kalshi24h Vol $548
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
32%
Kalshi24h Vol $519
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
95%
Polymarket24h Vol $494
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
53%
Kalshi24h Vol $419
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
94%
Polymarket24h Vol $298
Ends Dec 31, 2027
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
28%
Polymarket24h Vol $275
Ends Dec 31, 2026
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
54%
Kalshi24h Vol $257
Ends Jan 1, 2028
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
67%Earbuds/Headphones
38%Clip-on device for clothing
15%Necklace
14%Watch
Kalshi24h Vol $257
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
21%December 31
5%June 30
Polymarket24h Vol $186
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
7%
Polymarket24h Vol $183
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
8%
Polymarket24h Vol $145
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
70%
Kalshi24h Vol $141
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
57%
Kalshi24h Vol $116
Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
29%
Kalshi24h Vol $100
Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
22%
Polymarket24h Vol $92
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
9%
Polymarket24h Vol $84
Ends Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
95%No IPO by June 30, 2026
1%<100B
1%100–200B
1%300–400B
Polymarket24h Vol $81
Ends Jun 30, 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?
6%
Polymarket24h Vol $73
Ends Feb 28, 2026
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
11%
Polymarket24h Vol $56
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
29%
Polymarket24h Vol $48
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
9%
Polymarket24h Vol $43
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
18%
Polymarket24h Vol $35
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
15%
Polymarket24h Vol $34
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
30%
Polymarket24h Vol $33
Ends Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
35%
Polymarket24h Vol $33
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
6%
Polymarket24h Vol $20
Ends Dec 31, 2026